Irrational Expectations - A blog documenting how our lives and workplaces are influenced by economics, technology, language, and the tenacious grasp of human irrationality.

Thursday, September 18, 2008

The banking crisis and what to do (in 5 minutes)

Worried that I'll just sit on another post until it gets too stale to add, I'm just sharing some notes.

AIG offered 85bb loan to keep afloat; Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac both "nationalized"; WaMu fails; key economic problem due to super risky loans; able to take greater risk because of more advanced financial modeling; also securitization; latter allows portfolios of lending assets get created and sold/exchanged; risk is averaged (?) is security; creates adverse selection problem (real risks hidden); calls for action include greater regulation of banks; tighter lending practices; bailing out banks and borrowers; these are dressing over underlying problems; what are incentives for risk, both lenders and borrowers?; tighter lending practices counterproductive to fed policy subsidizing mortgages; better idea demolish tax incentives to borrow for buying house; many other good reasons (stupid, stupid policy); next sell of fannie and freddie assets, liquidate; congress needs pass this, never happen; too much stupid law to support stupid policy to encourage people to buy houses; problem on banking side isn't securitization (although does create challenges); banks took lending strategies they would have never taken years prior; betting with other peoples money - principle-agent problem; need better corporate governance; for long run's sake shareholders should bear all risks; where was oversight by boards? remove executives from boards, past executives; small start but important.

Addendum: I said Lehman Brothers and not AIG (corrected). A downside of posting initial notes.

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